France's Le Pen Likely to Win 1st Round of Voting and Lose 2nd Round


#1

French far-right leader Marine Le Pen has gained some ground on her main election rivals, independent Emmanuel Macron and conservative Francois Fillon, but would still lose to either of them in the May 7 runoff for the presidency, a poll showed on Monday.

The Opinionway poll of voting intentions had Le Pen easily beating her four main rivals and winning the April 23 first round with a score of 27 percent to move through to the two-way runoff against either Macron or Fillon.

In a straight fight with Macron she would go down by 42 percent against his 58, while against Fillon she would lose with 44 percent to his 56, the poll showed.

reuters.com/article/us-france-election-poll-idUSKBN15Z1FP?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=Social


#2

Against all odds, the God Emperor won and Brexit happened. If another act of Islamic terrorism happens in France, the nationalists might be able to win the election and save their country.


#3

It’s really sick to think it would come to that, but you’re probably accurate.


#4

There is a enormous difference between a moderate conservative Catholic like Fillon and a socialist like Macron. It is very unfortunate that the centrist Christians; formerly called “Gaullists,” after Charles De Gaulle, have declined so much in France. The news media focuses on the different varieties of socialists: international socialists, national socialists, Islamic socialists.


#5

A big reason why Reuters is carrying this is because a Le Pen loss will be seen as a big loss for Trump.

Should that happen, the media will do its best to note how “nationalism” is declining and Trump stands to lose and should quit.

Hopefully, Fillon gets through this and really knocks out abortion and so-called gay “marriage”.


#6

Fillon still has a good chance of being Le Pen’s ultimate challenger. His poll ratings suffered after the alleged scandal over his wife’s job but he appears to be creeping back up to becoming almost level with Macron, after the latter’s comments on French colonialism in Algeria irked right-wingers and his comments in favour of traditionalist Catholics having the right to protest gay marriage irked left-wingers.

He has time, so we shall see what happens.

Le Pen will lose to whomever faces her in the final run-off. I’m confident of that given the intricacies of the French system. I just don’t know at present whether that person will be Fillon or Macron. It really could be either.


#7

Le Pen supports abortion and, I think, Gay Marriage unfortunately.


#8

She sure does.


#9

Recent articles seem to indicate Le Pen is now opposed to homosexual marriage.


#10

I would like to read them, as this has never been her position hitherto.

Perhaps she’s getting worried about the Catholic vote heading Fillon or (as a second bet) Macron’s way. Fillon has styled himself as the Catholic “Gaullist” candidate from the beginning. That’s his base.

Interesting how the other two leading candidates have tried to court Catholic voters over gay marriage this week. Fillon has always been hardline on this - and so has to be commended for his consistency - but the others are now joining the party.

Actually, based upon my Google search, it seems that’s she’s courting the “gay conservative vote,” whereby a person who is gay supports civil unions but not marriage equality.

But I imagine she is worried about Catholic conservatives too.

I’m curious to know what has actually changed her mind. She was very “liberal” on this issue until this week, which strikes me as suspicious - especially since Macron has also come out this week with favourable comments about Catholic anti-gay marriage protesters. Are they both trying to pick voters away from Fillon, I wonder? Why the sudden focus on his base?


#11

LePen is anti-Catholic and I disagree with many of her positions, yet I totally understand where the pro-Le Pen side is coming from.

Brexit and the Trump Surge is coming to France.

France is beginning to question its previous policies------cast in doubt by migrant problems and the horrible terrorist attacks of the last two years.

Wish it was somebody other than Le Pen, but I understand where this is coming from and where it is going.

Europe is waking up.


#12

Knock 'em out!


#13

:thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup:


closed #14

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