Nate Silver is the man who in September 2015 said Donald Trump had a 5% chance of winning the Republican nomination, per following Slate article. By January 2016, he said, “Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however.”
Did Trump just beat expectations?
Here are some of the articles written by Nate Silver during the Republican primaries:
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
Donald Trump Is The World’s Greatest Troll
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
This doesn’t mean that Nate Silver’s prediction numbers about Clinton and Trump’s chances now are inaccurate, but look what he said about Trump during the primaries… and didn’t he appear to be convinced Trump didn’t have much of a shot to the nomination because of polls? If Nate Silver was correct in September, Donald Trump shouldn’t be the presumptive Republican nominee currently, should he?