This is getting exciting!
Being a Missourian, the Mo poll is of interest to me. Likely a result like this reflects a high degree of conservative motivation outside KC and the City of St. Louis, in which Dem machine politics rules. I remember in the2008 election that there were precincts in the City of St. Louis in which the Dem vote was greater than the precinct population. “Outstate” and the St. Louis suburban areas could swamp the machines if the people are sufficiently motivated. Perhaps they are, this time.