it says that some areas will cool, some will stabilize. the net effect will be a global cooling.
No, it doesn’t say that. It says that it might “blunt” the effect of warming. Nothing about net effect being cooling. If you think so, why not take my challenge:
I assert that the next five years will be, on the average, warmer than the last five. If I am wrong, I’ll write on this board that the climate models were wrong, and we can’t predict warming.
If I’m right, you write on this board that the models were correct and we are in a warming trend. Do you have enough confidence to make the bet?
this natural fluctuation may be stronger than anthropogenic global warming
In those limited areas. But, of course, it won’t change everything else. If it happens. This has long been part of some models, but people thought it would take longer.
**Scientists have long feared that a reduction in the amount of warm water in the Gulf Stream or a disruption of the Gulf Stream could bring in a new ice age. An article last year in the Independent discussed this possibility.
A report by the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme in Sweden -- launched by Nobel prize-winner Professor Paul Crutzen and other top scientists -- warned last week that pollution threatened to "trigger changes with catastrophic consequences" like these.
Scientists have long expected that global warming could, paradoxically, cause a devastating cooling in Europe by disrupting the Gulf Stream, which brings as much heat to Britain in winter as the sun does: the US National Academy of Sciences has even described such abrupt, dramatic changes as "likely". But until now it has been thought that this would be at least a century away.
The new research, by scientists at the Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Acquaculture Science at Lowestoft and Canada's Bedford Institute of Oceanography, as well as Woods Hole, indicates that this may already be beginning to happen. **
Ironically, global warming could actually make some areas much colder. It’s a little more complicated than either Gore or your luddite blogger imagines.
Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years, influenced by colder flows in the North Atlantic, said a report today by the institution based in Kiel, Germany. Temperatures worldwide may stabilize in the period.
The average could possibly, but most likely not for a rather simple reason; coastal Europe and California are rather small parts of the world; they’d have to get a lot colder to compensate for warming elsewhere.
**Some 3,000 scientific robots that are plying the ocean have sent home a puzzling message. These diving instruments suggest that the oceans have not warmed up at all over the past four or five years.
In recent years, heat has actually been flowing out of the ocean and into the air.**
So it’s not all that surprising. El Nino effects have been more pronounced as heat flows out of the sea into the atmosphere. Warming the sea will take a great deal of heat; water has a much higher specific heat than air, and only the very top of the water column is affected much by atmospheric warming.
it appears there is a yet another problem with al gore’s global warming. if the oceans are cooling, than the earth is not getting warmer.
The atmosphere is getting warmer. It would take hundreds of times more heat to warm an equivalent amount of ocean.