West Long Branch, NJ - Donald Trump remains ahead in the race for Utah’s electoral votes - matching the 6 point lead he had in last month’s Monmouth University Poll . While independent candidate Evan McMullin continues to claim a significant share of support from Republican voters, he still trails in third place behind Hillary Clinton. Most Beehive State voters believe Clinton is going to win the presidency, but very few would change their vote if they thought the race was closer.
Among Utah voters who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in next week’s presidential election, 37% currently support Trump, 31% back Clinton, and 24% back McMullin. Another 4% support Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. The race has changed little since early October, when voter support stood at 34% for Trump, 28% for Clinton, and 20% for McMullin.
“It’s been nearly 50 years since a third party candidate won any state’s electoral votes. That streak should remain intact. While McMullin has cut into Trump’s partisan support, the independent candidate has not broken out of third place,” said Patrick Murray, director of the non-partisan Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Self-identified Republicans support Trump over McMullin by a 56% to 34% margin, with 4% supporting Clinton. Among independent voters, 34% support Trump, 32% back Clinton, and 24% support McMullin. Nearly all self-identified Democrats (86%) are voting for Clinton. McMullin gets more support from voters under 50 years old - 30% compared with 33% for Trump and 26% for Clinton - than he does with those age 50 and older - 18% compared with 40% for Trump and 37% for Clinton.
Looks like Utah is going red again.