What was the breakdown of the Catholic vote Tuesday? [CNA]


#1

http://www.catholicnewsagency.com/images/American_flag_Credit_asterchief_Productions_Shutterstock_CNA.jpgWashington D.C., Nov 9, 2016 / 04:34 pm (CNA/EWTN News).- Catholics voted once again for the winning presidential candidate in Tuesday’s election, as they have done in recent elections.

“Catholics continue to be the only major religious voting block that can shift from one election to the next,” Dr. Mark Gray of the Center for Applied Research in the Apostolate (CARA) at Georgetown University stated on Wednesday.

“This is what makes the Catholic vote such an important swing vote. Presidential candidates who win the Catholic vote almost always win the presidency,” he added.

The few election polls that did list respondents by religion showed results for Catholics that varied widely depending on the day. Polling experts who warned of “volatility in the polls” insisted that the Catholic vote would be almost impossible to predict before the election.

For instance, one Investor’s Business Daily tracking poll showed Trump winning Catholics by 16 points on Nov. 4, only to have Clinton winning Catholic voters by three points on Nov. 7.

After President Obama narrowly carried the Catholic vote by two points in his 2012 re-election bid, Trump won the Catholic vote by seven points on Tuesday, according to exit polls. The Pew Research Center reported on the religious voter data. This marks the fourth straight election that Catholics have voted for the winning president.

In 2000, Catholics also voted for the winner of the popular vote Al Gore, who narrowly lost the Electoral College. Trump lost the popular vote, thus breaking the trend of Catholics voting with the popular vote in presidential elections.

Trump’s margin of victory among White Catholics on Tuesday was striking. While that bloc normally votes Republican – Mitt Romney won it by 19 points in 2012 – Trump went even further and won it by 23 points according to exit polls, the highest margin of victory in that bloc since before the 2000 election.

As expected, Trump lost the Hispanic Catholic vote decidedly – 67 to 26 percent – but still at the lowest margin of defeat for a Republican presidential ticket for that bloc since the 2004 election. And, the group CatholicVote.org noted in its post-election statement, “among non-Spanish speaking Latino Catholics the margin was likely significantly closer.”

Dr. Gray cautioned that, although Catholics clearly supported Trump in the exit polls, more data may be needed for the full context. “What we don’t know yet is why Catholics voted as a majority for Donald Trump,” he told CNA.

Historically, Catholics vary in their ultimate party preference – usually voting for the winning party in an election. “No other major religious group does this,” Dr. Gray emphasized. “Other Christians reliably vote majority Republican. Those of non-Christian affiliations or no religious affiliation vote consistently Democrat.”

There was a divide in support among weekly churchgoing Christians and those who do not attend church as frequently. Exit polls showed Trump winning among weekly churchgoers 56 to 40 percent, while among those attending a “few times a year” there was basically an even split.

Clinton enjoyed a large victory (31 points) among those who do not attend religious services.

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#2

Nearly impossible to decipher.


#3

catholics in the NE part of the US voted for hillary, 60-40; and if they could have; they would have voted in a landslide for an obama third term

absolute disgrace


#4

I never understand why they treat Catholics as a single block. It is easier to predict catholic voting patterns by area than religion.


#5

There’s a couple of things we can look at here.

First, the white Catholic vote probably went up for two reasons. One is the Supreme Court and the other is it’s usually a tough sell to vote in a particular political party for a third term in the White House. Playing into that some may have been the wikileaks and the on-going Clinton scandals that not even the mainstream media could afford to ignore.

Second, the Latino Catholic vote may have had more to do with the economy and immigration. I think Latino Catholics still, unfortunately, look to government for more answers on helping out with the economy and many may have been concerned about illegal family members in the country. The more or less steady support from Romney to Trump percentage-wise may have to do with similar concerns white Catholics had.


#6

This marks the fourth straight election that Catholics have voted for the winning president.

What do you think would happen to abortion if Catholics said they would not support any candidate who advocated for it? How many election cycles would it take for politicians to either abandon their support or simply get voted out of office? One? Two? It is good that many Catholics take this issue seriously, but let’s also recognize that Catholics have always had the ability to end it…and haven’t.

Ender


#7

If all of the Christians who stood for Christian values and not excuse-making did that, this social engineering nonsense would be stopped overnight.

The reason is the goal of most of the elite is to retain power, money and prominence and that would be a direct threat to it. Their goal is not to be idealist ideologues at any cost. That is too pricey for most of these folks.

That’s how we got right of slavery (well, that a Civil War :o).


closed #8

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